Predictive Victory Dynamics in Genshin Impact: How to Place Bets and Claim Primogems

The Predictive Victory Dynamics event in Genshin Impact Version 7.1 hands you a stack of Victory Emblems and asks you to bet on which of two simulated monster teams will win. Day 4 opens Round of 16 – Group D, and it lands the moment Group C’s two matches resolve, so the login routine is the same as every other day: cash in yesterday’s results, read the new matchups, and spread your Emblems before the 24-hour window closes.

Quick answer: Open the event board in Natlan, watch the Group C replays to bank 5,000 points, then place your 100 Victory Emblems across Group D and claim 20 Primogems under Prediction Rewards.

Round of 16 Group C results

Group C has been simulated, and both of its matches went to the heavy favorites. Open the event menu and a Round of 16 – Group C Results Announcement prompt appears with a View button.

Event Hub & Results Notification — The Group C results prompt that greets you when the round resolves. Shown at 00:03 in MMOJACKX57’s video. Image: HoYoverse

Activate the Interactive Woven Scroll Projection Board to watch each replay. In Match 1, Reserve Grenadier Squad beat Seahorse and Crab, and in Match 2, A Little Chubby Crisis took down Consecrated Beast Frightfest. Both predictions landed, so the 50 Emblems placed on each side paid out in full.

Group C Match 2 Replay — Group C Match 2, where A Little Chubby Crisis outnumbers Consecrated Beast Frightfest for the win. Shown at 02:08 in MMOJACKX57’s video. Image: HoYoverse

Here is how the points broke down with 50 Victory Emblems on each winner:

Match	Winner	Multiplier	Points
Match 1	Reserve Grenadier Squad	30x	1,500
Match 2	A Little Chubby Crisis	70x	3,500

That is 5,000 points added to your running Prediction Score for the round. Watch for the Prediction Successful banner on each replay summary; that confirmation is how you know the points are yours.

How to place your Group D bets

Group D hands you a fresh batch of Victory Emblems and a 24-hour clock. The two matchups and their current numbers look like this:

Match	Team	Support Rate	Multiplier
Match 1	What Does the Ninken Say?	74%	30x
Match 1	Simple-Soul Hilichurl Fighters	26%	105x
Match 2	Ultra-Ancient Heavy Assault Formation	39%	70x
Match 2	Round-and-Frost Assault	61%	35x

Select Round of 16 – Group D from the event menu. The round is already In Progress, and the “Time Remaining for This Prediction Round” timer tells you how long you have before the matches simulate.

Enter Match 1, then select Predict the Winner to view the lineups, starting positions, and unit stats. For a safer choice, go with “What Does the Ninken Say?”: its Support Rate is 74%, with a 30x multiplier. Stake 50 Victory Emblems on it, then confirm.

Open Match 2 and check the unit stats before you commit. The Ruin Guard sits at Lv. 80 with 74,000 Max HP and is Melee, AoE, and unable to target flying units, while the Large Cryo Slime is a ranged Squad type. Put the remaining 50 Emblems on “Round-and-Frost Assault” (61% support, 35x) and confirm.

You do not have to split evenly. Concentrating Emblems on a single low-support underdog, like Simple-Soul Hilichurl Fighters at 105x, multiplies your score far more if the longshot lands.

Claim your Prediction Rewards for the round

After placing your Emblems, select Prediction Rewards at the event screen’s top right. The “Updates Every Round” reward is granted for participating, whether or not your bets succeed. In Group D, it awards 20 Primogems plus 6 Sanctifying Unction. An Obtained pop-up shows that the items have been added to your inventory.

Because your score has been climbing all week, the Prediction Score Rewards track also unlocks as you cross thresholds. After Group C, the total passed 8,000, releasing two milestones at once:

Score reached	Reward
6,000	40 Primogems + 2 Guide to Contention
8,000	40 Primogems + 2 Guide to Contention

Group D Overview & Rewards Claim — The Prediction Score Rewards panel, where crossing 6,000 and 8,000 points frees up Primogems and talent books. Shown at 02:17 in MMOJACKX57’s video. Image: HoYoverse

Claiming both pushes the running total to 8,250, which is the number you want to see on the event hub once Group D is confirmed. Separately, there are milestone rewards for total rounds entered: 3 rounds grant 40 Primogems and 40,000 Mora, and 5 rounds grant 60 Primogems and 60,000 Mora. Logging in daily to spend each round’s Emblems clears those long before the event ends.

How Support Rate changes your score multiplier

For each match, the Support Rate shows what portion of players picked each team to win. If your selection wins, that percentage determines your score multiplier: popular picks earn less, and less popular picks earn much more.

The Support Rate becomes fixed at a set point before combat begins, and the multiplier can change until then. To assess a matchup, select a unit’s avatar; its combat skills, Max HP, and ATK are shown. Remember that once a fight has lasted long enough, both sides lose HP continuously, making raw survivability a frequent decider in close battles.

Group D timing and the rounds still to come

The tournament is a 16-battle bracket across 8 rounds, with only one group active at a time and a new round opening every 24 hours. Group D is the fourth and final Round of 16 group, after which the Quarterfinals, Semifinals, and Final Showdown follow in order:

Round	Unlock date
Round of 16 – Group A	October 12
Round of 16 – Group B	October 13
Round of 16 – Group C	October 14
Round of 16 – Group D	October 15
Quarterfinals – Group A	October 16
Quarterfinals – Group B	October 17
Semifinals	October 18
Final Showdown	October 19

Each prediction window stays open for only 24 hours, and once a round’s deadline passes you lose that round’s participation reward for good. The simplest habit is to log in once a day, watch the previous replays, spend the new Emblems on either match, and claim the payout. Doing that steadily through the Final Showdown on October 19 collects every Primogem on offer before the results wrap up by October 22.